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Current Situation -- Overview

Summary: Swiss neutrality finds itself in a field of tension between tradition and adaptation in 2026. Since the adoption of EU sanctions against Russia in February 2022, the debate has fundamentally changed. This chapter examines the legal foundations, historical development, recent erosion and international context.


Political decisions: as of 6 September 2026

New political decisions checked on 6 September 2026; earlier background retains its stated reference date.

27.09.2026 — The popular vote on the Neutrality Initiative will take place on 27 September 2026. The Federal Council’s explanations and the initiative committee’s position are published. As of 6 September, no result of this vote is available. Original source.

1. What This Chapter Is About

Neutrality is a core element of Swiss identity -- 87 per cent of the population fundamentally support it [1]. But what exactly does neutrality mean legally? How has it evolved over 500 years? And why is it being discussed as intensely today as at any time since the Second World War?

This chapter lays the foundation for understanding the Neutrality Initiative (see Chapter 2: What We Are Voting On). It is divided into seven sub-pages that examine various aspects of the current situation.


2. The Current Situation in Brief

Aspect Status March 2026 Source
Neutrality supported 87% of the population ETH Security 2025 [1]
Change since 2022 -10 percentage points ETH Security 2025 [1]
EU sanctions adopted Since 28 February 2022 SECO [2]
Frozen Russian assets CHF 7.4 bn cash.ch [3]
NATO rapprochement ITPP 2025-2028 finalised DDPS [4]
Lavrov quote "Openly hostile country" (April 2024) swissinfo [5]
More flexible neutrality desired 56% Chancenbarometer 2026 [6]

3. Navigation to Sub-pages

Neutrality in the Federal Constitution

Art. 173 and 185 FC: Neutrality as a "task", not a principle. Difference between the law of neutrality and neutrality policy.

History of Neutrality (1515--2024)

From Marignano through the Congress of Vienna to the paradigm shift of 2022 -- 500 years of Swiss neutrality at a glance.

Hague Conventions and International Law

The Fifth and Thirteenth Hague Conventions of 1907: rights and obligations of neutral states, customary international law and the UN Charter.

Erosion Since 2022 -- Ukraine Sanctions

The Bundesrat decision of 28 February 2022, the war materiel debate and the question: paradigm shift or continuity?

NATO Rapprochement and Security Policy

Partnership for Peace since 1996, ITPP 2025-2028, Sky Shield and the debate on creeping rapprochement.

Public Opinion and Surveys

ETH Security Study 2025, Chancenbarometer 2026, Statista 2024: What does the population think?

International Context

NATO enlargement (Finland, Sweden), EU CSDP expansion, remaining neutral states and geopolitical fragmentation.


References

[1] DDPS / CSS ETH Zurich (2025). Security Study 2025.
Federal Department of Defence, Civil Protection and Sport. [Open Access]

[2] SECO (2022). Measures in connection with the situation in Ukraine.
State Secretariat for Economic Affairs. [Open Access]

[3] cash.ch (2025). Frozen assets of sanctioned Russians in Switzerland have increased.
cash.ch. [Open Access]

[4] DDPS (2025). Switzerland-NATO Cooperation -- Goals 2025-2028 (ITPP).
Federal Department of Defence, Civil Protection and Sport. [Open Access]

[5] swissinfo.ch (2024). Russian Foreign Minister calls Switzerland "openly hostile".
SWI swissinfo.ch. [Open Access]

[6] watson.ch (2026). Chancenbarometer 2026 -- How Switzerland views the new world order.
watson.ch / Sotomo on behalf of Strategiedialog21. [Open Access]


Political update: 6 September 2026; background reference: March 2026